Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 0.406007 0.449429 0.496102 0.550092 0.610938 0.677520 0.756067
2025-04-20 0.338997 0.399541 0.469466 0.556599 0.662821 0.788808 0.950588
2025-04-27 0.301097 0.369903 0.453271 0.562530 0.703131 0.879583 1.120317
2025-05-04 0.273296 0.347093 0.440027 0.566936 0.737713 0.962400 1.285113
2025-05-11 0.250485 0.327180 0.426983 0.568167 0.765651 1.036450 1.443546
2025-05-18 0.233780 0.313098 0.419387 0.574613 0.799536 1.119928 1.622468
2025-05-25 0.213555 0.292133 0.400090 0.562114 0.804146 1.160530 1.740804
2025-06-01 0.202501 0.282804 0.395862 0.570176 0.838576 1.247147 1.938050
2025-06-08 0.189334 0.269268 0.384257 0.565839 0.853103 1.303678 2.092271
2025-06-15 0.180051 0.260602 0.378925 0.570177 0.880883 1.382864 2.292077
2025-06-22 0.168507 0.247669 0.366101 0.561506 0.886532 1.425722 2.432981
2025-06-29 0.159049 0.237230 0.356269 0.556612 0.897564 1.477966 2.595700
2025-07-06 0.146283 0.221019 0.336584 0.534517 0.878273 1.477096 2.662281
2025-07-13 0.140574 0.215585 0.333674 0.540106 0.907259 1.564470 2.908215
2025-07-20 0.135395 0.210621 0.331097 0.545880 0.936788 1.655295 3.172022
2025-07-27 0.130341 0.205509 0.327868 0.550134 0.963691 1.743492 3.441515
2025-08-03 0.125120 0.199778 0.323177 0.551323 0.984787 1.822255 3.701017
2025-08-10 0.121168 0.195927 0.321400 0.557551 1.015834 1.923509 4.023125
2025-08-17 0.114450 0.186962 0.310183 0.545476 1.010069 1.949183 4.177264
2025-08-24 0.111393 0.184151 0.309600 0.553264 1.044330 2.061289 4.548330
2025-08-31 0.106698 0.178199 0.303030 0.549075 1.053794 2.121284 4.802193
2025-09-07 0.103550 0.174815 0.300882 0.553266 1.080848 2.222166 5.171847
2025-09-14 0.098824 0.168342 0.292684 0.544888 1.080549 2.261720 5.389962